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State of the Valley News November 2005
from Healthy Mountain Communities &
the Watershed Collaborative

The State of the Valley News is a periodic newsletter from Healthy Mountain Communities and the Watershed Collaborative. Valley News contains information on initiatives, trends, ideas, and events impacting the Roaring Fork and Colorado River Valleys.
 
In this issue
  • Happy Thanksgiving!
  • Coming soon ... thousands more homes
  • Garfield County Socio-Economic Study gets underway
  • Valley town managers predict booming economy for area
  • Eagle County citizens appoint Charter Commission
  • Final Draft of the 2005 Eagle County Comp Plan Online
  • Workers in short supply in a hot economy
  • Zoned Out: Regulation, Markets, & Choices in Transportation & Land Use
  • New Partners fro Smart Growth, Jan. 26-28, Denver
  • AVLT to host Colorado Coalition of Land Trusts' conference
  • Happy Thanksgiving!

    All the best to you and your family this holiday season.

    -- Healthy Mountain Communities

     

    Coming soon ... thousands more homes

    Up and down the Roaring Fork Valley, at least 6,650 homes are ready to be built, with only minor government review.

    In theory, at least, builders and developers could decide tomorrow to exercise their rights and break ground on all of these homes. All they would have to do is go to their respective building departments in Garfield, Eagle or Pitkin counties.

    It's an impressive number, but it doesn't account for the job growth expected over the next two decades in the region.

    Within the next 25 years, according to planners, growth pressures from the resort economies of Eagle and Pitkin counties could triple the population of Garfield County, which is sandwiched between the two growth-generators.

    That means Garfield County, with some 50,000 people today, could balloon to 150,000 by the year 2030, if current trends continue unabated.

    In the same time frame, Pitkin County is expected to grow from 16,000 to as many as 26,000, while Eagle County is predicted to increase from 48,000 today to as high as 88,000 by 2030.

    The numbers come from The Watershed Collaborative, an ongoing cooperative planning effort by the three counties, the Healthy Mountain Communities organization and the Colorado State Demographer's office.

    The a copy of the report is available online at http://www.hmccolorado.org/watershedcollaborative. htm.

    Garfield County Socio-Economic Study gets underway
    aerial photo

    A major Socioeconomic Impact Study is just getting underway that will look at growth and development issues in the region and fiscal impacts on jurisdictions within Garfield County.

    The study is being overseen under the auspices of the County's Energy Advisory Board.

    The contract award was recently let to BBC Research & Consulting, a Denver based economic and planning firm that has a long track record of work in the region. Steve Mullen, from Foresee Consulting and a mapping/visualization expert and Mark Chain, who until recently was the Director of the Carbondale Planning Department, will join the BBC team for this effort.

    The study will review growth numbers recently developed in a Watershed Collaborative effort between Eagle, Garfield and Pitkin County and take that process to the next step of projecting sub-area allocations.

    The study will result in a model that can be used by local jurisdictions for forecasting, and predicting fiscal impacts looking at revenue and expenditures. "We want this to be a shared tool, that's relatively easy to use and replicate. We also want it to be capable of plugging in anyone's future oil shale scenario, and booms and busts whether in gas, tourism or second home development! It should be valuable for a broad range of users, including planners, managers, developers and industry," said Long Range Planner Randy Russell.

    Principle County contact for this study is Jesse Smith, Assistant County Administrator who will head up this effort for Garfield County in the interim, as the county's Oil and Gas Auditor, Doug Dennison, has left to take a position with Occidental Oil in Grand Junction. Charles McClean from Denver Research Group, Inc. and Randy Russell, Long Range Planner, will provide technical assistance.

    Garfield County hopes to have Dennison's position filled in January. Representatives on the Technical Advisory Board are in place for Eagle, Pitkin and Rio Blanco Counties to ensure a regional perspective and connectivity. First phases of this study are anticipated to take 9 months.

     

    Valley town managers predict booming economy for area
    Town managers in the Roaring Fork Valley are optimistic the future can hold only tremendous prosperity, as sales tax revenue completes its rebound from the recession that followed the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.

    The valley's five town managers voiced their confidence at the Carbondale Chamber of Commerce Annual Business Conference this month.

    Eagle County citizens appoint Charter Commission

    By a 4,075 to 3,850 vote, local residents agreed to form a commission that will draft a new charter for the county. That charter must pass another election to become law.

    Supporters have said a home rule charter could increase the number of county commissioners and create specific voting districts those commissioners would represent, giving a more effective voice to residents.

    Some county positions -- such as sheriff and assessor -- could become appointed rather than elected. Opponents have said that could create the possibility of political patronage jobs. They also said more commissioners on a board doesn’t necessarily mean better decisions would be made.

    Final Draft of the 2005 Eagle County Comp Plan Online

    The Eagle County Planning Commission and the Roaring Fork Valley Regional Planning Commission have recently completed their final review and edit of the soon-to-be-adopted 2005 Comprehensive Plan. Upon adoption, this plan will replace Eagle County's 1996 Master Plan. The new Comprehensive Plan incorporates many exiting Master Plan policies, and introduces a variety of new policies and strategies that reflect current data and current public sentiment.

    Eagle County Planning Commission will consider the final adoption of the Comprehensive Plan on December 7, 2005.

    To provide comment, or for further information, please call Cliff Simonton, Senior Planner, at (970) 328-8751 or send an email to compplan@eaglecounty.us

    Workers in short supply in a hot economy

    The Western Slope oil and gas boom, coupled with surges in the region's retail development and construction markets, has left many Roaring Fork Valley employers desperate for help.

    Businesses have cut days and hours of operation, boosted pay and offered signing bonuses to manage in the near term, but several regional officials say the situation is the start of a long-term problem that must be addressed with additional affordable housing and guest-worker visas.

    At the new Glenwood Meadows big-box development, Target, Petco and Lowe's, which employ more than 300 people, are all up and running. A manager at Target said there had been fewer applicants than expected and that workers had to be drafted from the Grand Junction store for the local opening.

    Creating further worker demand is the region's energy boom. A record number of new drilling permits have been issued this year in Garfield County, and demand is high for mechanics and rig workers.

    After the resignations of several employees, including drivers and mechanics, the Roaring Fork Transportation Authority board last week approved a 4 percent cost-of-living increase and reinstated several perks, including signing bonuses.

    Zoned Out: Regulation, Markets, & Choices in Transportation & Land Use

    In Zoned Out, Jonathan Levine argues that the debate about transportation and land-use planning in the United States has been distorted by a myth--the myth that urban sprawl is the result of a free market.

    According to this myth, low-density, auto-dependent development dominates U.S. metropolitan areas simply because that is what Americans prefer.

    Professor Levine confronts the free market myth by pointing out that land development is already one of the most regulated sectors of the U.S. economy. Noting that local governments use their regulatory powers to lower densities, segregate different types of land uses, and mandate large roadways and parking lots, he argues that the design template for urban sprawl is written into the land-use regulations of thousands of municipalities nationwide. These regulations and the skewed thinking that underlies current debate mean that policy innovation, market forces, and the compact-development alternatives they might produce are often "zoned out" of metropolitan areas.

    New Partners fro Smart Growth, Jan. 26-28, Denver

    The New Partners for Smart Growth Conference is the "premier" smart growth conference held each year. The strength of this conference comes from the variety of participants and speakers who cross disciplines to share experiences and insights, and valuable tools and strategies to encourage smart growth implementation and "get it done."

    AVLT to host Colorado Coalition of Land Trusts' conference
    book cover

    Aspen Valley Land Trust will host the Colorado Coalition of Land Trusts' winter conference February 27 and 28 at the Hotel Colorado in Glenwood Springs.

    The first day of the conference will include a tour of oil and gas development in the Silt and Rifle area, followed by sessions on conserving land in regions with oil and gas potential. The second day will be devoted to water issues and how to assure that water is available to preserve conservation values on conserved properties.

    Population Projections Interim Report Online

    The Growth Scenarios Project grew of the work of the Watershed Collaborative to better understand how the region will grow in the coming decades. The Project was formed by local planning staff to review and update or revise the population forecasts for Eagle, Garfield, and Pitkin Counties and consider the implications of county forecasts for sub- areas within the region.

    At a mid-point in the project, Garfield County chose to undertake a larger Socio-Economic Impact Study to address many of these issues in greater detail (see associated story). As a result, the Growth Scenarios Project chose to limit itself to the preparation of an initial set of population forecasts for each county.

    This Report represents that interim work, and stands as a Working Report until further refined.

    Read the report . . .

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